In April, every MLB team is dreaming of October. After close to 70 games, many teams have given up on that dream and the good teams have separated themselves from the bad and the unlucky.
As we close in on the All-Star break, let's take a look at where all 30 teams stand after 11 weeks.
Using each team's actual performance, their expected performance, as well as their chances of making the playoffs according to PECOTA, here is how every team ranks so far.
1. St. Louis Cardinals
Record: 43-23
Expected Record*: 42-24
2015 Playoff chances (PECOTA): 94.0%
2015 Preseason projected wins (Fangraphs): 88
2015 Preseason projected wins (PECOTA): 87
What to know: The Cardinals now have to deal with the distraction of an FBI investigation into their front office.
*Using the difference between the number of runs scored and the number of runs given up, we calculated each team's Pythagorean Win Percentage which tells us how many games a team typically wins based on their run differential.
2. Los Angeles Dodgers
Record: 38-29
Expected Record: 40-27
2015 Playoff chances (PECOTA): 90.6%
2015 Preseason projected wins (Fangraphs): 91
2015 Preseason projected wins (PECOTA): 93
What to know: Clayton Kershaw, who struggled early in the year, is starting to show his Cy Young form, posting a 1.56 ERA over his last five starts with 49 strikeouts and just seven walks.
3. Pittsburgh Pirates
Record: 39-27
Expected Record: 41-25
2015 Playoff chances (PECOTA): 74.8%
2015 Preseason projected wins (Fangraphs): 85
2015 Preseason projected wins (PECOTA): 81
What to know: The Pirates have the second-best record in the National League, but are still 4.0 games back in the NL Central.
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